Guest Post by Cabot Martin
technical expert and as a very decent and moral man, continues to try to save us
from ourselves at the North Spur.
filling the reservoir may well trigger a failure of the North Spur.
Imagine that – a well motivated older man, who has earned the
right to have nothing more on his mind than trying to pick out the perfect gift
for his grandchild, is torn up over what he sees as a pending catastrophe at the
North Spur and Stan Marshall is up in Labrador singing “All is Well” to the
local citizenry who are not in a position to say “BS” and prove it.
the lack of data and proper analysis.
shown at the bottom. The white line above the yellow dashed line is the Trans
Labrador Highway at about 90 meters above sea level.
the many square kilometers within the dashed yellow line are most certainly underlain
by various amounts of sensitive glaco-marine clay including Quick Clay that can
suddenly turn to watery mud.
was taken in June 2015 and the amount of land disturbance is clear (with more
boreholes and retrieve cores of the various underground strata. No boreholes no
core – no core no reliable data – no data no reliable studies.
“uncertainly” zones based solely on the presence or absence of soil data.
– none of them are good.
Zone 1 – area of limited boreholes giving limited data
coverage especially as the underground conditions in this area are known to vary
quickly from place to place where a borehole will encounter a say 2 meter sand at a
certain depth but one nearby will see nothing but clay at that depth.
3 area is a sloping upward time bomb of sensitive marine clay ready to let go
at any moment for innumerable potential reasons – including a failure of the
North Spur itself in Zone One in the case outlined by Dr Bernander in his
latest report – the specific trigger will be predictably labelled as “unpredictable”
in the post mortem on any disaster — when all and sundry are running to cover
Psychology Today a year or so ago on how the residents of Oso Washington State
learned to live with the risk of death by landslide.
residents downstream of Muskrat are like the homeowners of Oso. No, the poor
people of HV-GB and Mud Lake are having risk forced on them.
build up their – “No problem at the North Spur” defense mechanisms.
at night with the North Spur hanging over their heads? What am I missing?
that there is a $23 million cap on Nalcor’s loss coverage at Muskrat Falls.